RISK AWARENESS WEEK 2019 So many amazing workshops, consider upgrading for a full access pass
Many strategic investment decisions are portfolio decisions: of all the investment options available to us, how do we make a selection that ensures a creditable return on our investment without exposing us to undue risk. Quantitative uncertainty models allow us to address these questions directly: how to different selections perform probabilistically? Which selection gives us the greatest probability of making our targets; which gives us the greatest expected return; is the exposure in our portfolio warranted by the potential return?
This presentation shows how causal mapping leads directly to such quantitative models.
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